Daily Market View 15-01-2026
Listen to this daily briefing
The Pound Strengthens Across the Board as GDP Growth Surprises
1 Minute Market Rundown
-
UK GDP growth prints at 0.3% for November, surpassing all estimates and allowing GBP to rally.
-
3 month tracking GDP also printed positive after expectations of contraction, mostly helped by strong growth in production output.
-
FX volatility remains low overall despite the geo-political problems we have seen.
GDP-
In a rare ray of sunshine for the UK economy, November GDP growth printed not only positive, but 3x most estimates in figures released today. Naturally, I'm hooping it up a little, given most estimates had a 0.1% growth rate chalked in a 200% beat sounds more impressive than it is.
Much of this was provided with the help of the manufacturing sector and naturally, the removal over hesitation surrounding the budget, which occurred in late October.

The impact of these figures is significant, with what was expected to be a contractionary quarter in the last of 2025 suddenly being flipped to a 0.1% growth rate. Still not too exciting but undeniably better, it takes pressure off the government (to a degree) and possibly allows the BoE to hold rates higher for longer.
The Pound has reacted well, especially against the Euro, where it flipped a slump into a rally, although remains down against the Dollar as safe haven flight continues to increase Dollar strength.
Markets Today
*Please be aware the below rates represent the market rate at 8:00 AM, contact your Caxton dealer on check online for a live quote.
Today's Economic Calendar
Major Economic Releases (All times in GMT)
No major releasesBook Currency Workshop
Learn how market shifts impact your FX need or your business, directly from our analyst in a free consultation by good old fashioned phone call.
Sign up for the monthly outlook
The currency markets never sit still. Neither should your plans. Join 45 minutes of practical, jargon-free analysis on what’s moving the markets—and what it means for you or your business.