FX markets

Daily Market View 15-10-2025

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1:19

Central Bank comments set markets on edge

1 Minute Market Rundown

Pound rallies modestly against Dollar in early hours as Powell strongly hints at more cuts to come this year
Powell again highlighted concerns over the labour market, especially focusing on the 2021 low in US vacancies
Bailey follows suit, albeit in a slightly more neutral tone, following the poor employment data out of the UK yesterday

GBP-

The Dollar struggled in the early hours of this morning, down 0.2% against the Pound in early trading following very dovish statements in Philadelphia by Fed Chairman Powell. Powell mostly repeated the overall message that the Fed had during the September interest rate meeting, that the US jobs market is softening and that the Fed has to stop this slip becoming a slide.

At the same event, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stepped up to make much similar remarks, just in a slightly more toned down way.

Screenshot 2025-10-15 081455

It is strange to watch the Fed fuss so much about relatively low US unemployment and a moderating rate of job creation, whilst the BoE hardly mentions the ongoing real crisis brewing in the UK jobs market.

Overall UK unemployment is at 4.8%, when it started at 4.3% this year, whilst average private sector pay has fallen to a crawl at 2.4% annualised. Bailey's comments were positive for those waiting to hear an official opinion on the matter, but they did little to practically move the dial in markets, as expectations of rate cuts from the BoE this year remained relatively unchanged.

Markets Today

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