Daily Market View 06-11-2025
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Bank of England's Big Day Arrives, but Budget Casts a Large Shadow
GDP-
It's a day that will be crucial to understanding the outlook for GBP into the end of the year and well into next year, with the Bank of England staring into a difficult situation.
High, but stalled inflation of 3.8%, very weak growth, moderate and rising unemployment and a budget around the corner that could prove to be the most heavy on tax in recent British history.
Some insist that the budget has the attention of traders more so than the BoE today, Pale Ale in my view, if the BoE surprises to cut today, GBP will be significantly on the back foot for the remainder of the year.
Even if they hold however, a dovish statement from Bailey would likely just see expectations shift to December, still weakening GBP, other than a robust hawkish Bailey at 12:25, I see little chance for Sterling strength.
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Today's Economic Calendar
Major Economic Releases (All times in GMT)
12:00- Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
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